How defense has made Michigan the best team in the Big TenWhen the latest polls came out on Sunday, and Ohio State was still ranked atop the country, I did the same thing a lot of college football fans did. I asked myself, "Is Ohio State really the best team in the country?"
I startled myself with the conclusion I came to. Ohio State can't be the best team in the country.
It's not even the best team in its own conference.
When Michigan lured Jim Harbaugh home from the NFL, it was expected that, eventually, he'd help restore Michigan to its previous glory. Maybe he wouldn't win multiple national titles, but at the least he'd make the team a perennial contender in the Big Ten once again.
It just wasn't supposed to happen this quickly.
While Ohio State seems to be going through a post-national championship hangover -- a lot like what we saw from Florida State last year -- and Michigan State is just not the team we expected (the once dominant Michigan State defense has been incredibly mediocre so far this season), Michigan has begun to dominate its opponents, and has been the best team in the Big Ten.
The Wolverines may have a loss on their record, but that sole loss came against a Utah team that's currently undefeated, and beat Oregon by 42 points in Autzen Stadium earlier this season.
Michigan State could only beat that same Oregon squad by three points in East Lansing.
In Michigan's four wins, it's outscored its opponents 122-14, and it hasn't allowed a single point in over eight quarters. That's 30 straight possessions in which Michigan's opponent has failed to score a single point.
Compare that to Ohio State and Michigan State, the two Big Ten teams ranked ahead of the Wolverines in the polls, who found themselves in fourth quarter battles with Indiana and Purdue respectively.
According to the Sagarin Ratings, Michigan's strength of schedule to this point is ranked No. 31. Ohio State checks in at No. 74, while the Spartans pull up the rear at No. 83. So Michigan is playing a tougher schedule and blowing out its opponents in the process, while Ohio State and Michigan State are sleepwalking against easier opponents.
Advanced stats agree with Michigan being better than its Big Ten counterparts as well. Using F/+ from Football Outsiders, Michigan is the No. 7 team in the country. Ohio State is No. 13, while Michigan State is No. 19.
Now, none of this is to say that Michigan is a team without flaws. Its offense has been competent and nothing more. The passing game has been poor, having thrown more interceptions than touchdowns, and while the Wolverines are averaging over 200 yards per game rushing, they're doing so more with quantity than quality.
Where Michigan's true brilliance lies is on the defensive side of the ball.
We've already gone over the 30-possession shutout streak, but even against Utah this was an impressive unit. The Utah offense averaged only 4.8 yards per play against Michigan, but its averaged 5.8 yards per play in ever other game. On the season the Wolverines are allowing only 184 yards per game and 3.10 yards per play (2.6 ypp in its four wins). Both of those numbers rank second nationally, behind a Boston College team that's had the benefit of two FCS opponents this season.
If comparing the offensive and defensive units of the best teams in the Big Ten, there simply is no unit in the conference better than the Michigan defense.
This could all change quickly, mind you. I'm not here trying to tell you that Michigan is going to win the Big Ten, knocking off both Michigan State and Ohio State along the way (Michigan does host both teams in Ann Arbor this season).
As I've gone over, the Michigan defense may be dominant, but its entirely possible the Michigan offense will put it in one too many bad positions. Michigan's offense has turned the ball over nine times through five games, but the defense has bailed it out time after time, and forced seven turnovers itself to help balance the numbers. It's also entirely possible that Ohio State and Michigan State suddenly awaken from their daze (though I think Ohio State is far more likely to do that than Michigan State at this point), and begin to look like the teams we thought they would be all along.
But right now, Michigan is the best team in the Big Ten, and it really isn't all that close.
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